Summary
Performance
Historical returnsSnapshot
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5 bullish · 6 bearish points- FY2025 earnings rose 469.3% to -$2.92B.
- Has recovered 67.9% off the 52-week low of $3.08.
- The Aug 2026 quarter beat on EPS by $0.02 (205.5% above consensus).
- Consensus has EPS compounding 29.1% a year to $0.38 by 2028, which grows the multiple down to 13.7×.
- Sits 30.6% below the average analyst target of $6.75 across 4 firms.
- Gross margin slipped to 37.1% from 82.3% a year ago.
- Consensus sees only -0.7% revenue growth in 2026.
- Trades 8.9% below its 200-day average, a downtrend still intact.
- Still 31.8% below its 52-week high of $7.58.
- Missed consensus EPS in 5 of the last 8 quarters.
- Only 3 of 7 analysts are positive — 3 sit on the fence and 1 are outright negative.
Notable Price Movement
Historical returnsPrice Performance
All periods| Period | Period Low | Period High | Performance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-Month | 5.12 +0.98% on 10/01/26 | 6.27 -17.54% on 09/02/26 | -1.05 (-16.88%) since 09/02/26 | |
| 3-Month | 4.88 +5.94% on 07/29/26 | 6.27 -17.54% on 09/02/26 | +0.24 (+4.87%) since 07/06/26 | |
| 6-Month | 4.80 +7.71% on 07/01/26 | 7.66 -32.51% on 05/19/26 | -1.42 (-21.55%) since 04/02/26 | |
| YTD | 4.08 +26.72% on 01/02/26 | 7.66 -32.51% on 05/19/26 | +0.93 (+21.93%) since 01/02/26 | |
| 52-Week | 3.07 +68.40% on 10/10/25 | 7.66 -32.51% on 05/19/26 | +1.94 (+60.06%) since 10/01/25 | |
| 5-Year | 1.97 +162.44% on 04/07/25 | 8.88 -41.78% on 09/15/23 | +1.75 (+51.17%) since 09/24/21 |
New Highs
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NVDA has averaged a 9.2% absolute move on the day after earnings and closed higher 67% of the time. Two in three reactions land between −4.2% and +16.3% — the distribution is skewed right, not symmetric.
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