Up/Down Trends
312.57
6.72
(2.20%)
07/17/2026
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)
From the given dates, MPC highest price rally was observed on 2026-07-07 | 10 days ago
The price rally was UP for 5 consecutive days.
The price rally close price start with 266.33 and end at 303.40, giving a return of 13.92%.
The price of MPC was UP 38 times, and was DOWN 24 times.
Streak Statistics
MPC is currently UP for 2 consecutive day(s), a move of 4.47% (299.18 → 312.57).Historically, after a 2-Day UP streak, MPC extended the move at least one more day 70% of the time (7 of 10 cases), and reversed 30% of the time.Streak-Length Distribution & Average Return
| Streak Length (days) | Up Streaks | Avg Up Return | Down Streaks | Avg Down Return |
| 1 | 5 | 1.77% | 9 | -1.20% |
| 2 | 4 | 4.21% | 4 | -4.28% |
| 3 | 5 | 5.48% | 1 | -1.45% |
| 4 | 0 | – | 1 | -7.84% |
| 5+ | 2 | 13.11% | 0 | – |
| Total | 16 | – | 15 | – |
Longest Streaks on Record
| Record | Days | From | First Price | Last Price | Return |
| Longest UP streak | 5 | Apr 23, 2026 | 220.26 | 247.35 | 12.30% |
| Longest DOWN streak | 4 | Jun 12, 2026 | 263.58 | 242.91 | -7.84% |
Momentum vs. Mean-Reversion
MPC behaves as: Mean-reverting — an up day is more likely to be followed by a down day — moves tend to reverse.Unconditional up-day rate: 61.3%. After an up day: 59.5% chance of up. After a down day: 62.5% chance of up.| Today \ Tomorrow | Up | Down |
| Up | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Down | 62.5% | 37.5% |
Each row is row-normalized: given today's direction, where the next day went. Flat (no-change) days excluded.Seasonality
By Day of Week
| Weekday | Days | Up (%) | Avg Daily Return |
| Monday | 12 | 91.7% | 1.603% |
| Tuesday | 13 | 53.8% | 0.451% |
| Wednesday | 13 | 46.2% | 0.320% |
| Thursday | 13 | 46.2% | 0.267% |
| Friday | 11 | 72.7% | 0.663% |
By Month of Year
| Month | Days | Up (%) | Avg Daily Return |
| January | 0 | – | – |
| February | 0 | – | – |
| March | 0 | – | – |
| April | 9 | 88.9% | 1.690% |
| May | 20 | 45.0% | 0.056% |
| June | 21 | 52.4% | 0.152% |
| July | 12 | 83.3% | 1.708% |
| August | 0 | – | – |
| September | 0 | – | – |
| October | 0 | – | – |
| November | 0 | – | – |
| December | 0 | – | – |
Daily returns bucketed by calendar weekday / month across the selected range. Cell shading scales with the average move.
Price Chart with Up/Down Rally Indicators
Showing rally days >=2 days
Historical Up/Down Days and Returns