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Up/Down Trends

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312.57 6.72 (2.20%) 07/17/2026
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)
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  • From the given dates, MPC highest price rally was observed on 2026-07-07 | 10 days ago
  • The price rally was UP for 5 consecutive days.
  • The price rally close price start with 266.33 and end at 303.40, giving a return of 13.92%.
  • The price of MPC was UP 38 times, and was DOWN 24 times.


  • Streak Statistics
  • MPC is currently UP for 2 consecutive day(s), a move of 4.47% (299.18 → 312.57).
  • Historically, after a 2-Day UP streak, MPC extended the move at least one more day 70% of the time (7 of 10 cases), and reversed 30% of the time.
  • Streak-Length Distribution & Average Return
    Streak Length (days)Up StreaksAvg Up ReturnDown StreaksAvg Down Return
    151.77%9-1.20%
    244.21%4-4.28%
    355.48%1-1.45%
    401-7.84%
    5+213.11%0
    Total1615

    Longest Streaks on Record
    RecordDaysFromFirst PriceLast PriceReturn
    Longest UP streak5Apr 23, 2026220.26247.3512.30%
    Longest DOWN streak4Jun 12, 2026263.58242.91-7.84%

    Momentum vs. Mean-Reversion
  • MPC behaves as: Mean-reverting — an up day is more likely to be followed by a down day — moves tend to reverse.
  • Unconditional up-day rate: 61.3%. After an up day: 59.5% chance of up. After a down day: 62.5% chance of up.
  • Today \ TomorrowUpDown
    Up59.5%40.5%
    Down62.5%37.5%
    Each row is row-normalized: given today's direction, where the next day went. Flat (no-change) days excluded.


    Seasonality

    By Day of Week
    WeekdayDaysUp (%)Avg Daily Return
    Monday1291.7%1.603%
    Tuesday1353.8%0.451%
    Wednesday1346.2%0.320%
    Thursday1346.2%0.267%
    Friday1172.7%0.663%

    By Month of Year
    MonthDaysUp (%)Avg Daily Return
    January0
    February0
    March0
    April988.9%1.690%
    May2045.0%0.056%
    June2152.4%0.152%
    July1283.3%1.708%
    August0
    September0
    October0
    November0
    December0
    Daily returns bucketed by calendar weekday / month across the selected range. Cell shading scales with the average move.


    Price Chart with Up/Down Rally Indicators
    Showing rally days >=2 days



    Historical Up/Down Days and Returns

    Showing last 1 year of data. To view all data, Upgrade to PRO plan!

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