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Up/Down Trends

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495.40 -1.48 (-0.30%) 08/14/2026
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
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  • From the given dates, MSFT highest price rally was observed on 2026-07-29 | 17 days ago
  • The price rally was UP for 4 consecutive days.
  • The price rally close price start with 390.54 and end at 492.81, giving a return of 26.19%.
  • The price of MSFT was UP 32 times, and was DOWN 30 times.


  • Streak Statistics
  • MSFT is currently DOWN for 1 consecutive day(s), a move of -0.30% (496.88 → 495.40).
  • Historically, after a 1-Day DOWN streak, MSFT extended the move at least one more day 44% of the time (7 of 16 cases), and reversed 56% of the time.
  • Streak-Length Distribution & Average Return
    Streak Length (days)Up StreaksAvg Up ReturnDown StreaksAvg Down Return
    191.41%10-1.36%
    223.31%4-5.19%
    355.29%1-5.15%
    4126.19%1-1.78%
    5+01-8.81%
    Total1717

    Longest Streaks on Record
    RecordDaysFromFirst PriceLast PriceReturn
    Longest UP streak4Jul 29, 2026390.54492.8126.19%
    Longest DOWN streak5Jun 4, 2026428.05390.34-8.81%

    Momentum vs. Mean-Reversion
  • MSFT behaves as: Mean-reverting — an up day is more likely to be followed by a down day — moves tend to reverse.
  • Unconditional up-day rate: 51.6%. After an up day: 46.9% chance of up. After a down day: 55.2% chance of up.
  • Today \ TomorrowUpDown
    Up46.9%53.1%
    Down55.2%44.8%
    Each row is row-normalized: given today's direction, where the next day went. Flat (no-change) days excluded.


    Seasonality

    By Day of Week
    WeekdayDaysUp (%)Avg Daily Return
    Monday1266.7%0.853%
    Tuesday1338.5%-0.550%
    Wednesday1323.1%-0.938%
    Thursday1369.2%1.405%
    Friday1163.6%0.875%

    By Month of Year
    MonthDaysUp (%)Avg Daily Return
    January0
    February0
    March0
    April0
    May944.4%0.771%
    June2138.1%-0.863%
    July2263.6%1.063%
    August1060.0%0.659%
    September0
    October0
    November0
    December0
    Daily returns bucketed by calendar weekday / month across the selected range. Cell shading scales with the average move.


    Price Chart with Up/Down Rally Indicators
    Showing rally days >=2 days



    Historical Up/Down Days and Returns

    Showing last 1 year of data. To view all data, Upgrade to PRO plan!

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