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Up/Down Trends

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83.33 -0.40 (-0.48%) 09/16/2026
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP)
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  • From the given dates, XLP highest price rally was observed on 2026-07-23 | 55 days ago
  • The price rally was UP for 4 consecutive days.
  • The price rally close price start with 83.21 and end at 87.36, giving a return of 4.99%.
  • The price of XLP was UP 29 times, and was DOWN 34 times.


  • Streak Statistics
  • XLP is currently DOWN for 2 consecutive day(s), a move of -1.29% (84.42 → 83.33).
  • Historically, after a 2-Day DOWN streak, XLP extended the move at least one more day 75% of the time (6 of 8 cases), and reversed 25% of the time.
  • Streak-Length Distribution & Average Return
    Streak Length (days)Up StreaksAvg Up ReturnDown StreaksAvg Down Return
    150.65%7-1.14%
    272.13%3-1.73%
    321.65%4-2.73%
    414.99%1-2.90%
    5+01-0.80%
    Total1516

    Longest Streaks on Record
    RecordDaysFromFirst PriceLast PriceReturn
    Longest UP streak4Jul 23, 202683.2187.364.99%
    Longest DOWN streak5Aug 4, 202685.3784.69-0.80%

    Momentum vs. Mean-Reversion
  • XLP behaves as: Momentum (persistence) — an up day is more likely to be followed by another up day than a down day is — moves tend to persist.
  • Unconditional up-day rate: 46.0%. After an up day: 48.3% chance of up. After a down day: 45.5% chance of up.
  • Today \ TomorrowUpDown
    Up48.3%51.7%
    Down45.5%54.5%
    Each row is row-normalized: given today's direction, where the next day went. Flat (no-change) days excluded.


    Seasonality

    By Day of Week
    WeekdayDaysUp (%)Avg Daily Return
    Monday1233.3%-0.011%
    Tuesday1346.2%0.003%
    Wednesday1457.1%-0.066%
    Thursday1330.8%-0.261%
    Friday1163.6%0.253%

    By Month of Year
    MonthDaysUp (%)Avg Daily Return
    January0
    February0
    March0
    April0
    May0
    June933.3%-0.248%
    July2254.5%0.115%
    August2142.9%-0.000%
    September1145.5%-0.176%
    October0
    November0
    December0
    Daily returns bucketed by calendar weekday / month across the selected range. Cell shading scales with the average move.


    Price Chart with Up/Down Rally Indicators
    Showing rally days >=2 days



    Historical Up/Down Days and Returns

    Showing last 1 year of data. To view all data, Upgrade to PRO plan!

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