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COMMANDS Global: GP Symbol: IBM FA
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How this is scored. Every published price target is measured over a fixed 12-month window from the publication date, using split- and dividend-adjusted closes, and expressed net of the S&P 500 over the identical window. A call counts as a hit only when the stock moved in the direction the analyst pointed and beat the index, so a bearish call that is followed by a rally is a miss, not a hit. Only calls whose 12 months have fully elapsed are scored; open calls are listed but not graded. Score is the 95% lower confidence bound on the beat rate, which stops a short record from outranking a long one on a lucky streak. Analysts need at least 10 scored calls to be ranked.
880
Ranked analysts
20,076
Calls scored
40.8%
Average beat rate
-1.5%
Average excess return
Sep 24
Last rebuilt
Where the street reads the tape best
Sector Calls scored Analysts Beat S&P 500 (%) Avg Excess (%) Target Reached (%)
Communication Services 1,400 301 52.6% +9.9% 72.4%
Financial Services 2,899 475 50.1% +4.5% 80.0%
Technology 5,527 823 44.9% +10.5% 72.7%
Industrials 2,797 538 44.3% +4.1% 73.5%
Utilities 557 89 43.6% +2.4% 78.6%
Consumer Cyclical 4,231 679 38.7% -6.4% 67.5%
Basic Materials 1,203 288 35.9% -4.8% 60.3%
Healthcare 3,796 595 35.5% -9.8% 51.1%
Consumer Defensive 1,387 263 35.4% -11.5% 60.0%
Energy 1,402 229 34.9% -10.7% 54.9%
Real Estate 1,048 222 32.0% -9.4% 68.5%
Read across a sector rather than down an analyst. The street is most accurate in Communication Services (52.6% of 1,400 calls beat the index) and least accurate in Real Estate (32.0%). Note how far the last two columns can diverge: a sector where the target is reached often but the index is rarely beaten is one where the price gets there and the alpha does not.

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