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Futures Correlation Matrix

Pairwise correlation of daily returns across all 40 contracts. Cluster ordering re-sorts the grid by average-linkage hierarchical clustering on 1 − r, so blocks of genuinely co-moving contracts surface even when they sit in different complexes.

Analytics as of 2026-09-20·40 continuous front-month contracts·LIVE today’s bar is still forming and is excluded from all statistics·each pair uses only the sessions both contracts traded·computed 0s ago
Average pair
0.06
mean r across 780 pairs
Uncorrelated pairs
72%
|r| below 0.20
Tightest complex
0.81
Equity Index · avg internal r
Best diversifier
0.04
Lumber · mean |r|
ContractBZCLHONGRBALIGCHGMGCPAPLSILSIKEZCZLZMZOZRZSCCCTKCLBOJSBDCGFHELEESNQRTYYMZBZFZNZQZTDX
Energy
BZ·9573196515-21-28-22-24-21-19-192925401121123-110-161-82010-820-51-41-54-58-51-48-51-8-4232
CL95·73186519-19-26-19-23-20-18-18292444921323-101-161-71412-741-49-39-54-55-49-46-49-6-4031
HO7373·21486-25-29-26-24-20-21-21121137117-310-8-4-100-14130-751-41-32-43-49-47-47-49-11-4033
NG191821·91-13-12-16-14-10-14-14659710101113-14-6-551-13-1-10-9-12-12-5-5-65-5-1
RB6565489·17-15-18-15-24-17-14-141917452155190710-6105-650-33-29-29-33-33-28-305-2222
Metals
ALI15196117·293727202530307-5263-628188120118-42531016116-4-1-415-1-3
GC-21-19-25-13-1529·6098647383830-3-4-1-1744-21706141-67-6833323134162827731-37
HG-28-26-29-12-183760·5863676969-4-5-60-155-5717447-12-1254549484345232727-623-29
MGC-22-19-26-16-15279858·62718282-1-4-6-5-1842-217-1715-1-57-6830302831162826931-42
PA-24-23-24-14-2420646362·867171-62-73-141-5-411489-9-1113-11236332939121715-515-24
PL-21-20-20-10-172573677186·8282-42-45-1270-3176410-6-31221135323037111716-516-28
SIL-19-18-21-14-14308369827182·10002-10-124401746151-3100931322628152020419-30
SI-19-18-21-14-14308369827182100·02-1-1-124401746151-4100931322628152020419-30
Grains & Oilseeds
KE29291261970-4-1-6-400·5225354118463275-2098-19-1-15-18-13-20-24-7-7-63-69
ZC252411517-5-3-5-4222252·11302821450171223320-18-1-14-16-13-22-20-13-18-16-5-216
ZL40443794526-4-6-6-7-4-1-12511·716143211-7-7-55-19-811-6-19-14-16-21-19-17-19-3-1421
ZM1191723-10-5350-135307·3366513117-3-24-1-15-1-7-10-6-13-13-8-10-10-11-127
ZO2121171015-6-17-15-18-14-12-12-1241281633·123872-3-6-394143-20-16-23-27-10-11-11-9-1220
ZR13-31052454174418211612·161010381415-5-11-120-151556-335
ZS232310111984-52-5044464543653816·4192-7711-1-155-10-16-15-17-15-8-11-9-8-1114
Softs
CC-11-10-813018-27-2-4-300302137104·15346-219-3912913131612-12021-13
CT01-4-17817171711171717271711112101915·117-612-4261111576355-35-17
KC-16-16-10411204-14644512-77-3323411·-4424-331398119957131-8
LB110-6006478466-22-7-3-68-767-4·-1-5-5-2-5-4-2-2-3-2-7-5-71-4-3
OJ-8-7-14-5-61114715910151503-5-2-317-2-64-1·3-2-2511517141124434-9
SB20141351081-12-1-9-61193549411191224-53·-12-17-5-8-3-4-14-18-20-20-6-172
Livestock & Dairy
DC1012015-4-6-12-5-11-3-3-4820-19-1415-1-3-4-3-5-2-12·-1-2-6-15-11-16-16-6-3-519-35
GF-8-7-7-1-6275713121010-19-18-8-151-5-15923-2-2-1-1·258214101522586512-12
HE245355-64-6-1200-1-111-14-1151261-557-225·1957740-1-1802
LE011-103858121199-15-14-6-73-12-10913-41-5-68219·4228-10-5-773-9
Equity Index
ES-51-49-41-10-331033493036353131-18-16-19-10-200-1613119-215-8-151454·928486423941-334-42
NQ-41-39-32-9-291632483033323232-13-13-14-6-16-1-1513158-217-3-11107292·7667343233028-35
RTY-54-54-43-12-291131432829302626-20-22-16-13-235-1716711-314-4-1615728476·83474245137-37
YM-58-55-49-12-33634453139372828-24-20-21-13-271-151269-211-14-162248866783·464045-236-41
Rates
ZB-51-49-47-5-33-416231612111515-7-13-19-8-105-8-139-72-18-650-1042344746·84921970-35
ZF-48-46-47-5-28-128272817172020-7-18-17-10-115-11255-54-20-38-1-53932424084·973294-44
ZN-51-49-49-6-30-427272615162020-6-16-19-10-116-9057-74-20-56-1-7413345459297·2789-43
ZQ-8-6-1155157-69-5-5443-5-3-11-9-3-82-31313-619587-301-2193227·40-26
ZT-42-40-40-5-22-131233115161919-6-21-14-12-123-11151-44-17-312033428373670948940·-46
Currency
DX323133-122-3-37-29-42-24-28-30-309621720514-13-17-8-3-925-122-9-42-35-37-41-35-44-43-26-46·
−1+1

Cells show r × 100 — the number is always printed, so the colour is a second reading of the same value rather than the only one. Hover any cell for the exact coefficient.

Strongest co-movers
PairrDays
SIL Silver (Micro)  /  SI Silver1.00238
GC Gold  /  MGC Gold (Micro)0.98238
ZF 5Y T-Note  /  ZN 10Y T-Note0.97238
BZ Brent Crude  /  CL Crude Oil (WTI)0.95238
ZF 5Y T-Note  /  ZT 2Y T-Note0.94238
ES E-mini S&P 500  /  NQ Nasdaq 1000.92239
ZB 30Y T-Bond  /  ZN 10Y T-Note0.92239
ZN 10Y T-Note  /  ZT 2Y T-Note0.89239
ES E-mini S&P 500  /  YM Mini Dow0.86239
PA Palladium  /  PL Platinum0.86237
Strongest inverse pairs
PairrDays
BZ Brent Crude  /  YM Mini Dow-0.58239
CL Crude Oil (WTI)  /  YM Mini Dow-0.55238
CL Crude Oil (WTI)  /  RTY Micro Russell 2000-0.54238
BZ Brent Crude  /  RTY Micro Russell 2000-0.54239
BZ Brent Crude  /  ZN 10Y T-Note-0.51239
BZ Brent Crude  /  ZB 30Y T-Bond-0.51239
BZ Brent Crude  /  ES E-mini S&P 500-0.51239
HO Heating Oil  /  YM Mini Dow-0.49238
CL Crude Oil (WTI)  /  ZN 10Y T-Note-0.49238
CL Crude Oil (WTI)  /  ES E-mini S&P 500-0.49238
Best diversifiers
ContractMean |r|
LB Lumber0.04
HE Lean Hogs0.05
ZR Rough Rice0.06
OJ Orange Juice0.07
DC Class III Milk0.07
KC Coffee0.07
CC Cocoa0.08
LE Live Cattle0.08
Average correlation inside each complex
ComplexContractsAvg r
Equity Index40.81
Rates50.64
Metals80.63
Energy50.49
Grains & Oilseeds70.28
Livestock & Dairy40.20
Softs60.08

Correlation is Pearson on daily simple returns over the selected window, computed pair by pair on the sessions both contracts actually traded. Gold and Silver each appear twice because the DB carries both the full-size and micro contract; those two pairs sit near r = 1.00 by construction and are a useful sanity check on the grid rather than a finding. Correlation is not stability — a pair can average 0.9 for a year and decouple in a week, and none of this is a hedge ratio. For that, see the Spread Monitor.

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